September 19, 2026
Chinese Strategy in Africa: The Shift from Lender to System Owner
China's Africa strategy has shifted from sovereign lending to minerals, corridors and digital systems. A 2026 assessment of drivers, risks and scenarios.
Research archive
Great Power Competition
September 7, 2026
The Thucydides Trap Revisited: Can Complex Economic Interdependence Prevent Hegemonic War in a Fragmented World?
Thucydides Trap Revisited: Can Trade Stop War? Meta Description: A strategic intelligence assessment of whether US-China economic interdependence can defuse the Thucydides Trap amid tariffs, tech…
September 4, 2026
The SWIFT Alternative: De-Dollarization, Financial Statecraft, and the Fragmentation of the Global Monetary Order
De-dollarization is accelerating but the dollar still dominates SWIFT, reserves, and trade finance. A data-driven assessment of CIPS, mBridge, and BRICS Pay.
August 29, 2026
The Arctic Frontier: Why the High North Is Becoming a New Arena of Great-Power Competition
Executive Summary The Arctic is undergoing a structural transformation that is reshaping it from a zone of low-tension, rules-based cooperation into a theater of strategic competition…
August 27, 2026
The Semiconductor War: How Chip Supply Chains Became a Battlefield of Great-Power Competition
The semiconductor war has transformed global chip supply chains into a strategic battleground for US-China competition, technology and economic security.
August 27, 2026
Rimland Theory: Why Eurasia’s Periphery Still Matters in Global Power Competition
For much of the twentieth century, geopolitical strategy was shaped by a deceptively simple question: where is the decisive geography of global power? Halford Mackinder placed…
August 12, 2026
China’s Grand Strategy in Africa: A Strategic Intelligence Assessment
A strategic intelligence assessment of China's grand strategy in Africa — basing, debt, critical minerals, digital infrastructure, and diplomacy through 2026.
August 6, 2026
6G Race: Whoever Wins the Next Internet Revolution Controls Everything
A strategic assessment of the global 6G race: standards, spectrum, semiconductors, and military stakes behind who shapes the next era of the internet.
August 6, 2026
The Silicon Schism: Strategic Alignment of Tech Giants in the US-China Technology Cold War
An institutional analysis of why global tech giants are aligning with US or Chinese strategic imperatives amid the emerging technology cold war. Suggested URL Slug: /us-china-tech-cold-war-corporate-alignment…
August 5, 2026
Sun Tzu and the Making of Chinese Strategy: From the Warring States to the Gray Zone
How Sun Tzu's 2,500-year-old Art of War still shapes PLA doctrine, gray-zone coercion, Three Warfares, and China's AI-era rivalry with the US. Suggested URL Slug: /sun-tzu-impact-chinese-strategy